Download Accounting for Climate Change: Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas by Daniel Lieberman, Matthias Jonas, Zbigniew Nahorski, Sten PDF

By Daniel Lieberman, Matthias Jonas, Zbigniew Nahorski, Sten Nilsson

Uncertainty research is a key element of nationwide greenhouse gases stock analyses. the problems which are raised via the authors during this quantity, and the position that uncertainty research performs in lots of in their arguments and/or proposals, spotlight the significance of such efforts. assurance comprises: bottom-up as opposed to top-down emission stock methods, compliance and verification concerns, and the function of uncertainty in emissions buying and selling schemes.

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Extra info for Accounting for Climate Change: Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas Inventories - Verification, Compliance, and Trading

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At least among industrialized countries, the inventory uncertainties that have been presented to date are not a measure of inventory quality but rather the result of subjective decisions on the part of the respective country experts. , & van Cleemput, O. (2001). Estimates of N2O and CH4 fluxes from agricultural lands in various regions in Europe. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems, 60, 35–47. [29] 450 Water Air Soil Pollut: Focus (2007) 7:443–450 IIASA Interim Report IR-00-021, Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.

One example of this is when an identical set of emission factors is applied to similar sources. If the emission factors tend to be inappropriately high/low, they will be too high/low for all sources. Adding differentiation to these dependent sources will not reduce the overall relative uncertainty, as they share an identical emission factor. 3 Significance of Subjective Interpretation of Uncertainty this does not affect the overall emissions balance, such a difference may influence the interpretation of country intercomparisons and the relative weighing of abatement measures.

See, for example, Appendix A in Taylor (1997). 8 Throughout this discussion, we assume that probability distributions for estimated emissions or emission reductions are normal and that the shape of the probability distribution of emissions for each country or source does not change significantly as emissions are reduced. , this analysis assumes that the purpose of investigating uncertainty is to ensure that we do not overestimate actual emission reductions). [35] 456 Water Air Soil Pollut: Focus (2007) 7:451–474 Table 1 Ratio of adjusted emissions to estimated emissions have committed) than to ask whether emissions are actually what we think they are.

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